Bitcoin (BTC) Price Update: Is this the Capitulation?

in #bitcoin7 years ago

Hi guys!

Bitcoin doesn't seem to stop dumping so far and it has been more than a week now. So, here are my thoughts on bitcoin for today.

BTC - Daily Chart

Tools used: Fib Retracement and RSI
5a79158466d67.png
As you all know, the 200 moving day average support on bitcoin broke down yesterday. And I think this a strong confirmation that we are in a bear trend or pretty much in capitulation stage already (if you compare it to the chart I showed you yesterday about stage in a bubble).

Also, note that RSI is still on downward momentum.

BTC - Daily Chart

Tools used: Trend-Based Fib Extension and Drawing Tools
5a7918ccdeb44.png
Now, if you read my post yesterday clearly bitcoin went lower than what I was expecting. So, I had to adjust my dip buying order. Right now, I’m seeing $5,000 bitcoin which means I can get cheap trading bot soon!

However, still bitcoin hasn’t shown any signals of reversing. No nasty candle today. Even after more than 7 days of market crash. Now at this market condition, I will keep my eyes on those price areas and adjust accordingly.

But I have a feeling that the bottom might be even lower than people are expecting. I could be wrong here but who knows right? Maybe we’ll see $1,650 bitcoin (now that’s 90% market loss)

Don’t get me wrong here, my bags have lost at least 60% in USD. However, I’m still on the game because I was prepared for this crash.

Conclusion

Since this is my first experience on a huge market crash. I’ve learnt a few lessons and I hope you do as well.

To sum up here are what I’ve learnt:

  1. Portfolio management is everything in crypto space. It’s easy to make huge gain but it’s also easy to lose those gains and more. Personally I will make a few adjustments on my portfolio management in the future.
  2. Remember the stages on a bubble. Nobody can’t deny that cryptocurrency is a bubble so does real estate, so does stock market. Its just the nature of the market psychology. I should pay more attention to the market psychology and adjust my trading strategies.
  3. The name of the game is survival. Focus more on how not losing money, then how to make more money.
  4. Let the market come to you. Don’t chase the market. Trading is like fishing. You set the bait and wait.
  5. Make plans and strategies not opinions.

Disclaimer

You know the drill guys. This is just opinion and not a financial advise. Do you own research and decide your own trades. Cheers!

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Thanks for this. I know nothing about nothing but I do know that I want a trading bot and the one I want is pegged to bitcoin so it is getting potentially cheaper by the day!!! Wee haaa. I think I will purchase soon and then learn how to set it up while waiting all of this out. thanks again

Glad to help! Check out crypto crow on youtube he talks about Profit Trailer a lot (that's the name of the bot). You can only buy the bot with bitcoin (0.03 BTC per exchange, maximum 3 exchanges at the moment).

Personally, I will buy the bot and test some settings while bitcoin price is diving down in the gutter.

This is some solid advice, @devytan! Thank you for this!

Happy to help! Just don't get rekt on this market crash.

I hope not. Gonna hold on to my coins until all of this is over!

Just average cost down if you are on the red. And remember to scale in when buying dips. Think of it as an ammo to average price down. I hope in the next few days we might see a reversal pattern.

Yup, the hearing with the SEC and CFTC went great, so I think things are looking good for crypto!

That's probably why bitcoin had a price spike yesterday. We'll see how the price goes now.