Why I predict SUSHI Price Will be Down Over 70% in 7 days... Plus 1111 SUSHI Short on Binance

in Project HOPE4 years ago (edited)

Hey guys!

Just a quick post today before I sleep!

Disclaimer: I have done around 30 mins of research, please let me know if I am wrong in any of my calculations and as always, this is NOT financial advice

Today, I was day trading for fun (as I always do before any exams) and noticed a token down from ~$12 to $1.20... that was SUSHI Coin.

Of course, my first instinct was to buy some! I ended up buying it and dollar cost averaging all the way down to $1.12 before it started shooting up, and I mean like absolutely shooting up!

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I was satisfied with my profits at around ~$1.30, I sold it and called it a day, not bad making $200 in about 45 mins. I came back to check on the coin throughout the day and just saw the price keep going up, $1.50... $2.00... then $3.00, I was in absolute shock. Imagine if I didn't cash in my longs... imagine if I longed more at the bottom...

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After a while though, I decided to stop blindly shorting and longing coins like I've always done and actually do some research and that's when I found this, the Etherscan for the coin.

I noticed the current inflation rate was rather insane, in fact at 1:28 AM AEST (as of writing) there are 64,640,640 SUSHI tokens. Let's have a look back on this number in a bit...

SUSHI Coin Inflation Rate

I do need to sleep soon, so luckily I have some rough data from 30 mins ago. Since then, there has been roughly 200,000 SUSHI coins created, yes you read that right 200,000.

Doing some basic maths, that's around 9.6 million tokens per day, or in other words close to 15% inflation per day. Do you remember what else had insane inflation rates?

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That's right... but even Bitconnect didn't have THAT high of an inflation rate, which is likely why it lasted so much longer than any other ponzi schemes.

Inflation Since 1:28am: ~20% daily

It is now 1:33am AEST, Etherscan shows 64,686,506 SUSHI coins, an increase of 45,866 in just 5 minutes. Using this rate, that's approximately 13,209,408 tokens per day (almost 20% of total supply). This massive inflation rate can be verified on Coinmarketcap too, albeit they do update it a lot slower than Etherscan which I presume is live.

Price Prediction: $0.75 within a week

Given the extremely high inflation rate of SUSHI coins, I predict the price will go down to $0.75 within a week and even with a pump and dump, the price will get back up to a maximum of $6.00. With this prediction going forwards, I have decided to short 1111 SUSHI coins on Binance. My liquidation price is around $7.24 so even if there is one more pump and dump, I'm hoping it won't reach that price, or else I will be down roughly $5k USD :)
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20% of post reward are set to @ph-fund, assisting Venezuelan families combat hyperinflation

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Dont buy Sushi its just giving money to those in Defi. It will go close to 0. Also whilst on the subject dont buy DOT either it's way way over priced. Great project bad investment. If your going to put money into Dot ecosystem buy chainX instead. Same price way less coins and not on a major exchange yet. Will be buying with both hands coming weeks.

I shorted SUSHI, which essentially means I'm selling it without having the actual coin, if you're interested in shorting, you can trade futures on Binance (reflink).

Here's an article with a bit more info on futures, I plan on doing a whole mini series when I get the time :)

i wish i had known when it was 10 dollars. What kind of leverage is on offer? Short it into the ground.

@jphamer1 you can do up to x50 leverage I believe for SUSHI and up to x125 for bigger coins like BTC, but personally I don't really leverage when I'm shorting anymore after getting burnt too many times LOL, I reserve the leverage for longs.

in poloniex we also incorporate the future and the truth until now that I read this article I did not give it the due importance. good article

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