A Matter Of Time

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The Crypto Cycle will change with adoption reducing the volatility which we see over the 4 year period. Adoption in the sense that businesses having to hold the token due to performing daily tasks using the various blockchains. Not all crypto will be part of this and why real use cases will be the stand out performers.

Those of us in crypto know about the 4 year crypto cycle which gives us a massive advantage over those yet to find crypto yet alone understand how things work such as there being a genuine cycle. I find it quite amazing that this is such a big "secret" that is not that obvious until you get involved as it is not something I would have guessed.

I have always been fearful of adoption taking place before I had an established crypto portfolio due to the idea prices will rise and the ability of finding cheap crypto will dry up. This is still what is driving me day in and day out as I know we have a limited opportunity before this window closes.

The idea of being able to buy low and sell high using the cycles will remain but the "low" will change as it has to with adoption. We have not seen the realistic prices that certain projects should hold due to being a must have for daily uses in the real world.

How many cycles do we have left before this all changes is possibly the next one as I cannot see this going past 2025. We cannot complain if this is the case as we have had enough time to grow and if you haven't it is your own fault. This would have to be seen as a wasted opportunity and a huge cock up on a huge magnitude.

We know MiCA which is the European Crypto regulation goes live next year and is expected to be live before June 2024. The Carbon Emissions which are using the blockchain technology goes live from January 2025 which has to be seen as some type of mass adoption due to it being forced under regulation laws. This is just the tip of what is being implemented through crypto so expect to see much more.

Knowing this the idea of having cycles behave as they are are going to change not by the time line but by the amount of how much retraction takes place. Mass adoption will severely affect the volatility and value of certain projects where we will not see 90% lost over a 4 year cycle. The selling wont be taking place due to the companies having to hold on to their portfolio due to it's use case and that is the stark difference. There will be no dumping taking place and I see more accumulation than selling pressure.

Selecting various crypto projects for what they offer and not looking for quick profit. Projects will be under pressure to have real use cases in the real world otherwise investors will be questioning their value. We know 95% of crypto is actually worthless or should I say over priced due to those not having a use case outside of their eco system. The tokens may have utility in their eco system, but they don't go further than that. More development needs to be added in order to perceive extra value.

Wealth can be generated within 2 crypto cycles and we shall see how much this idea changes after the end of this cycle. Opportunities will still be around to make big profits, but I just see the volatility slowly decreasing which has to be seen as positive news for all of us.

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I also believe volatility will decrease over time, we see that in Bitcoin already. The percentage of drawdowns during bear markets are going down. Maybe next bear phase we will only see a -50% or -60% drawdown while this time it was -80% and before -90%? Makes accumulating these days even more important since we most probably won’t see prices below 30k ever again. What do you think?

I think we may not see Bitcoin below 20K ever next time around and it depends on so many things. ETF's if they get into Bitcoin will not be selling and trading like we see now and volatility will seriously decrease. The idea that money pours into bitcoin and then is sold when the highs are achieved followed by that money pouring into the alts is all going to change.

Ohhh.
I guess I came late into the world of crypto. Still saddens me that I didn't find or hear about such life changing world.

Well, nothing can be done over a spilled milk, so I have to hit the ground running and take slight advantage of any chance that comes my way.

Thanks for sharing.

Having a good knowledge of the different phases will position one to know the right project to embark on. @cryptoandcoffee your points are clear, thanks for sharing.

Selecting various crypto projects for what they offer and not looking for quick profit. Projects will be under pressure to have real use cases in the real world otherwise investors will be questioning their value. We know 95% of crypto is actually worthless or should I say over priced due to those not having a use case outside of their eco system. The tokens may have utility in their eco system, but they don't go further than that. More development needs to be added in order to perceive extra value.

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That is a positive viewpoint! Legislation of anything does indicate that it has enough adoption to warrant work done by any government! !LOL

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