With markets flying all over the place and bitcoin having drastic 5% daily swings things have gotten a little crazy these last few weeks. I want to stop for a moment and take a look at some driving factors.

While some might say it's all about the party coming into power and the pro crypto regulations that people are expecting it doesn't really contribute to the overall markets besides speculation as nothing has yet happened. In fact for two more weeks an overly oppressive government is still in power and you can be sure that they all wont be filtered out on "day one" lol

Past Cycles

Now if we look at past cycles we will see that most bull runs had what I would call three cycles within them.

The first is bitcoins rally which is normally constant and moving upwards for months. If if fizzles out too much it stagnates the next two cycles which are normally a meme coin frenzy and an alt coin cycle. I'd actully separate it this way because as of late we have seen more of a meme coin cycle over an alt coin cycle as billions are pumped into these tokens.

These cycles normally happen at core fundamentals for bitcoin for the most part but all the others are mainly on speculation and simple price increase of the bitcoin asset.

Meme coins really have no backing behind them except for pure speculation and want of the token. That doesn't mean it's a bad thing or doesn't provide value because it does.

New Cycles

By looking at these past cycles we can spot trends and right now we are on the front to middle end of what a normal cycle looks like. We had the massive bitcoin rally from $16,000 to $108,000 and we have also mainly had the meme coin frenzy with stupid people rug pulling already like the HAWK meme coin lol damn people stupid seriously haha

That being said we really only have one cycle left and that's the alt coin cycle which should also continue to fuel bitcoins price.

For right my my speculation price point is still for bitcoin to be around that $114,000 level (which we still haven't hit sure we might get to $130,000 or so for a short period of time but I'm pretty solid on the 114 at the moment still that I called two years ago for the next rally.

Now that could change based on what new policies change etc but that climb I feel will be slow for bitcoin and other markets being that it takes time for these systems to get into place.

What we most likely will see however are constantly roll outs of memes with either a massive rub pull or a massive rally. For example I got in on PEPE coin early and that's paid off crazy well so it really depends on what ones you pick and the community and if there would be constant demand around it.

If it's around a single person chances are that meme coin wont do well but if it's around a meme and community like Doge, Pepe and a select few others then there's a possibility there for constant growth and usage which is exactly what a meme coin needs is massive constant usage.

What memes are you looking at for 2025?

Posted Using InLeo Alpha